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VMCVulcan Materials CO
Industrial / Semis10-K · Filed 2026-02-19
Clarity Fair Value
$96.18
SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED (-65%)
Market Price
$274.99
65% Downside
$87$153$220$287$353202620282030203220342036Market $275
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 38% spread

Residual Income$76.66 · 37%
ROIC Fade$71.52 · 26%
EV/Rev$98.17 · 13%
DDM$54.80 · 12%
DCF$181.42 · 7%
Comps$307.01 · 6%
Trailing Rev Growth
7.1%
Model Implied CAGR
12.0%
1Y Price Target
$105.71
Market Cap
$36B

VMC Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Vulcan Materials CO (VMC) has an estimated fair value of $96.18 per share, compared to its current market price of $274.99. The stock is currently trading 65% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Residual Income, ROIC Fade, EV/Revenue, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Residual Income model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show moderate agreement with a 38% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 1.4% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $81.43.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $105.71, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Vulcan Materials CO is classified under the Industrial / Semis sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-19 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 9, 2026, 10:05 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

Vulcan Materials CO (VMC) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates Vulcan Materials CO (VMC) at $96.18 per share, compared to the current market price of $274.99. This represents a 65% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from Vulcan Materials CO's 10-K · Filed 2026-02-19 filing, classified in the Industrial / Semis sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 38% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.