Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 38% spread
VMC Valuation Summary
Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Vulcan Materials CO (VMC) has an estimated fair value of $96.18 per share, compared to its current market price of $274.99. The stock is currently trading 65% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.
This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Residual Income, ROIC Fade, EV/Revenue, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Residual Income model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show moderate agreement with a 38% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 1.4% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $81.43.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $105.71, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
Vulcan Materials CO is classified under the Industrial / Semis sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-19 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 9, 2026, 10:05 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology