Model BlendHIGH agreement · 5% spread
UA Valuation Summary
Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Under Armour, Inc. (UA) has an estimated fair value of $9.64 per share, compared to its current market price of $6.41. The stock is currently trading 50.4% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.
This valuation blends 2 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), EV/Revenue. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 2 models show high agreement with a 5% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 98.4% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $9.49.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $8.68, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
Under Armour, Inc. is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2025-05-22 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 8, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology