Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) has an estimated fair value of $231.30 per share, compared to its current market price of $171.54. The stock is currently trading 34.8% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 35% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 63.5% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $203.97.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $312.92, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-27 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.