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PBRPETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA
General10-K
Clarity Fair Value
$43.13
SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED (+145.1%)
Market Price
$17.60
145.1% Upside
$16$39$63$86$110202620282030203220342036Market $18
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 25% spread

DCF$57.18 · 29%
Comps$47.10 · 21%
Residual Income$30.26 · 19%
ROIC Fade$27.66 · 19%
EV/Rev$46.45 · 12%
Trailing Rev Growth
Model Implied CAGR
-13.4%
1Y Price Target
$46.81
Market Cap
$131B

PBR Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA (PBR) has an estimated fair value of $43.13 per share, compared to its current market price of $17.60. The stock is currently trading 145.1% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, Residual Income, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 25% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 99.2% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $40.33.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $46.81, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA is classified under the General sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 8, 2026, 7:29 PM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA (PBR) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA (PBR) at $43.13 per share, compared to the current market price of $17.60. This represents a 145.1% upside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA's 10-K filing, classified in the General sector with medium confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 25% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.