Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Mastercard Inc (MA) has an estimated fair value of $493.30 per share, compared to its current market price of $522.34. The stock is currently trading 5.6% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of FAIR VALUE.

This valuation blends 4 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, and 1 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 4 models show high agreement with a 9% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 35.1% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $429.09.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $557.33, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

Mastercard Inc is classified under the Payment Network sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-11 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.