Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 29% spread
HP Valuation Summary
Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, Helmerich & Payne, Inc. (HP) has an estimated fair value of $117.67 per share, compared to its current market price of $34.09. The stock is currently trading 245.2% below Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED.
This valuation blends 3 independent models — including EV/Revenue, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Comparable Companies. The primary weight is given to the EV/Revenue model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 3 models show moderate agreement with a 29% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.
Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 99.7% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $106.71.
Clarity's 1-year price target is $159.98, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.
Helmerich & Payne, Inc. is classified under the E&P (Oil & Gas) sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2025-11-21 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.
Updated Mar 8, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology