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CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
SaaS / Tech10-K · Filed 2026-03-05
Clarity Fair Value
$116.91
SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED (-73.2%)
Market Price
$435.79
▼ 73.2% Downside
$105$199$292$386$479202620282030203220342036Market $436
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendHIGH agreement · 2% spread

EV/Rev$115.01 · 65%
DCF$120.47 · 35%
Trailing Rev Growth
21.7%
Model Implied CAGR
25.1%
1Y Price Target
$140.69
Market Cap
$110B

CRWD Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) has an estimated fair value of $116.91 per share, compared to its current market price of $435.79. The stock is currently trading 73.2% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 2 independent models — including EV/Revenue, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF). The primary weight is given to the EV/Revenue model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 2 models show high agreement with a 2% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 0% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $115.26.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $140.69, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. is classified under the SaaS / Tech sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-03-05 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 9, 2026, 4:02 PM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) at $116.91 per share, compared to the current market price of $435.79. This represents a 73.2% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.'s 10-K · Filed 2026-03-05 filing, classified in the SaaS / Tech sector with high confidence. Model agreement is HIGH with a 2% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.