Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW (COST) has an estimated fair value of $653.62 per share, compared to its current market price of $998.10. The stock is currently trading 34.5% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 6 independent models — including Comparable Companies, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), EV/Revenue, and 3 more. The primary weight is given to the Comparable Companies model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 6 models show moderate agreement with a 40% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 14.4% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $553.37.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $795.32, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW is classified under the Consumer / Retail sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2025-10-08 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.