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AMDADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC
SaaS / Tech10-K · Filed 2026-02-04
Clarity Fair Value
$113.82
SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED (-40.9%)
Market Price
$192.44
40.9% Downside
$102$194$285$376$467202620282030203220342036Market $192
Fair Value PathMarket Price

Model BlendMODERATE agreement · 32% spread

DCF$130.62 · 34%
EV/Rev$136.79 · 23%
Comps$145.20 · 22%
Residual Income$27.43 · 18%
ROIC Fade$37.12 · 3%
Trailing Rev Growth
34.3%
Model Implied CAGR
13.4%
1Y Price Target
$144.30
Market Cap
$314B

AMD Valuation Summary

Based on Clarity's multi-model valuation engine, ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC (AMD) has an estimated fair value of $113.82 per share, compared to its current market price of $192.44. The stock is currently trading 40.9% above Clarity's fair value estimate, resulting in a verdict of SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation blends 5 independent models — including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), EV/Revenue, Comparable Companies, and 2 more. The primary weight is given to the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with Bayesian triangulation used to reconcile the estimates into a single blended fair value. The 5 models show moderate agreement with a 32% spread between the highest and lowest estimates.

Monte Carlo simulation across 5,000 scenarios estimates a 10.7% probability that the stock is trading below its intrinsic value, with a median simulated value of $96.36.

Clarity's 1-year price target is $144.30, reflecting expected earnings growth and margin trajectory.

ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC is classified under the SaaS / Tech sector, and this valuation is based on 10-K · Filed 2026-02-04 filings sourced directly from SEC EDGAR. All models use trailing twelve month (TTM) financials where available, with sector-appropriate growth and discount rate assumptions.

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Updated Mar 9, 2026, 10:01 AM UTC · Powered by Clarity Valuation Engine · Methodology

ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC (AMD) Valuation Summary

Clarity's 6-model valuation engine estimates ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC (AMD) at $113.82 per share, compared to the current market price of $192.44. This represents a 40.9% downside from the current price. The verdict is SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED.

This valuation was generated from ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC's 10-K · Filed 2026-02-04 filing, classified in the SaaS / Tech sector with high confidence. Model agreement is MODERATE with a 32% spread across models.

Models used: DCF (scenario-weighted), Residual Income, Comparable Companies, EV/Revenue, ROIC Fade, and Dividend Discount Model. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR and validated against XBRL structured filings.